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Tarrant, TX · ZIP 76115 · Census Tract 48439104504 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$128K
Downside (P10)
$100K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$141K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$214K
+67% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +67%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $66K | $66K | $67K | $67K | $75K | $95K | $117K | $135K | $134K | $125K | $128K | $131K | $138K | $141K | $130K |
| YoY Change | -0.2% | +1.8% | -0.6% | +12.0% | +27.2% | +23.3% | +15.5% | -1.3% | -6.7% | +2.8% | +2.1% | +5.3% | +2.4% | -7.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $109K | $106K | $100K | $116K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $165K | $182K | $214K | $147K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$109K to $165K
42.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$116K to $147K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $126K | $141K | +12.0% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 103800) | $139K | $160K | +15.4% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 105800) | $140K | $158K | +12.7% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 104803) | $131K | $144K | +10.5% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 103701) | $127K | $137K | +7.7% | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 101700) | $132K | $139K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $126K | $141K | +12.0% | |
| Grapevine | $406K | $513K | +26.5% | |
| Fort Worth | $276K | $336K | +21.8% | |
| Grand Prairie | $379K | $459K | +21.1% | |
| Watauga | $300K | $362K | +20.7% | |
| Haltom City | $209K | $250K | +19.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Worth | $126K | $141K | $114K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 100800) | $141K | $147K | $68K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106102) | $94K | $106K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106520) | $86K | $94K | $61K | |
| Fort Worth (Tract 106400) | $89K | $98K | $54K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.