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Sterling, TX · ZIP 76951 · Census Tract 48431950100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$149K
Downside (P10)
$123K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$161K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$196K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $86K | $95K | $66K | $65K | $59K | $75K | $79K | $121K | $143K | $147K | $149K | $153K | $155K | $161K |
| YoY Change | +10.2% | -30.5% | -2.1% | -8.8% | +27.1% | +5.2% | +53.4% | +18.3% | +2.7% | +1.2% | +2.9% | +1.4% | +4.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $131K | $133K | $123K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $183K | $194K | $196K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$131K to $183K
33.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$123K to $196K
45.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
No comparable areas found for this neighborhood. This usually happens when only a small number of tracts in the county have forecast coverage.
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.