What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48427950403 in La Grulla · Rio Grande City · (Tract 9504.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $85,043 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48427950403 in La Grulla · Rio Grande City · (Tract 9504.3)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $85,043 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.5%.

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Parcel 48427950403 (La Grulla) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48427950403, La Grulla · Rio Grande City · (Tract 9504.3) Home Price Forecast

Starr, TX · ZIP 78582 · Census Tract 48427950403 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$85K

Downside (P10)

$71K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$94K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$127K

+49% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$57K	$72K	$68K	$81K	$82K	$85K	$85K	$91K	$94K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$27,843	-$13,543	-$17,543	-$3,843	-$3,243		+$425	+$6,301	+$8,918
Growth % vs 2026	-32.7%	-15.9%	-20.6%	-4.5%	-3.8%		+0.5%	+7.4%	+10.5%
Downside (P10)							$73K	$71K	$71K
Upside (P90)							$105K	$113K	$127K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$73K to $105K

37.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$71K to $127K

59.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.5% · Spread: 59%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48427950403, La Grulla · Rio Grande City · (Tract 9504.3) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).