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Somervell, TX · Census Tract 48425800009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$604K
Downside (P10)
$227K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$545K
-10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.06M
+75% by 2030
Base case: -10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +75%. The model forecasts this with 16% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $604K | $631K | $583K | $522K | $545K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$27,564 | -$20,564 | -$81,681 | -$58,988 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +4.6% | -3.4% | -13.5% | -9.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $261K | $239K | $227K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $930K | $975K | $994K | $1.1M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$327K to $930K
95.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$227K to $1.1M
152.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $604K | $545K | -9.8% | |
| Somervell (Tract 240009) | $759K | $707K | -6.9% | |
| Somervell (Tract 160008) | $630K | $578K | -8.3% | |
| Somervell (Tract 040005) | $591K | $537K | -9.2% | |
| Somervell (Tract 560006) | $611K | $546K | -10.7% | |
| Somervell (Tract 960004) | $654K | $575K | -12.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $604K | $545K | -9.8% | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000200) | $245K | $261K | +6.6% | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000102) | $335K | $353K | +5.3% | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000101) | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| Somervell (Tract 240009) | $759K | $707K | -6.9% | |
| Somervell (Tract 760000) | $773K | $714K | -7.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $604K | $545K | $828K | |
| Somervell (Tract 560006) | $611K | $546K | $745K | |
| Somervell (Tract 960004) | $654K | $575K | $684K | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000102) | $335K | $353K | $219K | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000101) | $310K | $319K | $169K | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000200) | $245K | $261K | $143K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Somervell, TX · Census Tract 48425800009 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$604K
Downside (P10)
$227K
-62% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$545K
-10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.06M
+75% by 2030
Base case: -10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -62% to +75%. The model forecasts this with 16% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $604K | $631K | $583K | $522K | $545K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$27,564 | -$20,564 | -$81,681 | -$58,988 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +4.6% | -3.4% | -13.5% | -9.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $327K | $261K | $239K | $227K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $930K | $975K | $994K | $1.1M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$327K to $930K
95.5% of median
Long-horizon band
$227K to $1.1M
152.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $604K | $545K | -9.8% | |
| Somervell (Tract 240009) | $759K | $707K | -6.9% | |
| Somervell (Tract 160008) | $630K | $578K | -8.3% | |
| Somervell (Tract 040005) | $591K | $537K | -9.2% | |
| Somervell (Tract 560006) | $611K | $546K | -10.7% | |
| Somervell (Tract 960004) | $654K | $575K | -12.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $604K | $545K | -9.8% | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000200) | $245K | $261K | +6.6% | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000102) | $335K | $353K | +5.3% | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000101) | $310K | $319K | +2.9% | |
| Somervell (Tract 240009) | $759K | $707K | -6.9% | |
| Somervell (Tract 760000) | $773K | $714K | -7.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 800009 | $604K | $545K | $828K | |
| Somervell (Tract 560006) | $611K | $546K | $745K | |
| Somervell (Tract 960004) | $654K | $575K | $684K | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000102) | $335K | $353K | $219K | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000101) | $310K | $319K | $169K | |
| Glen Rose (Tract 000200) | $245K | $261K | $143K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
