What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48423001807 in Tyler East?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $293,606 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48423001807 in Tyler East?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $293,606 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 11.3%.

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Parcel 48423001807 (Tyler East) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48423001807, Tyler East Home Price Forecast

Smith, TX · ZIP 75707 · Census Tract 48423001807 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$294K

Downside (P10)

$240K

-18% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$327K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$410K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$102K	$105K	$190K	$240K	$279K	$294K	$303K	$308K	$327K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$191,206	-$189,006	-$103,906	-$53,306	-$14,406		+$9,087	+$14,422	+$33,255
Growth % vs 2026	-65.1%	-64.4%	-35.4%	-18.2%	-4.9%		+3.1%	+4.9%	+11.3%
Downside (P10)							$252K	$256K	$240K
Upside (P90)							$366K	$392K	$410K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$252K to $366K

37.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$240K to $410K

52.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +11.3% · Spread: 52%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48423001807, Tyler East on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).