What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48423001605 in Tyler?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,956 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48423001605 in Tyler?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $226,956 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.3%.

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Parcel 48423001605 (Tyler) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48423001605, Tyler Home Price Forecast

Smith, TX · ZIP 75706 · Census Tract 48423001605 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$227K

Downside (P10)

$194K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$255K

+12% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$359K

+58% by 2030

Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$126K	$93K	$105K	$221K	$227K	$235K	$244K	$255K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$101,256	-$133,756	-$121,856	-$5,856		+$8,336	+$16,582	+$27,811
Growth % vs 2026	-44.6%	-58.9%	-53.7%	-2.6%		+3.7%	+7.3%	+12.3%
Downside (P10)						$210K	$207K	$194K
Upside (P90)						$296K	$335K	$359K

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$210K to $296K

36.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$194K to $359K

64.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.3% · Spread: 65%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 48423001605, Tyler on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).