What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48423001501 in Winona?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $125,988 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48423001501 in Winona?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $125,988 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.8%.

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Parcel 48423001501 (Winona) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48423001501, Winona Home Price Forecast

Smith, TX · ZIP 75792 · Census Tract 48423001501 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$126K

Downside (P10)

$114K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$132K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$183K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$126K	$105K	$127K	$120K	$121K	$126K	$128K	$130K	$132K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$288	-$20,988	+$1,012	-$5,588	-$4,588		+$1,522	+$3,850	+$6,064
Growth % vs 2026	-0.2%	-16.7%	+0.8%	-4.4%	-3.6%		+1.2%	+3.1%	+4.8%
Downside (P10)							$110K	$111K	$114K
Upside (P90)							$146K	$167K	$183K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$110K to $146K

28.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$114K to $183K

52.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.8% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48423001501, Winona on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).