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Sherman, TX · ZIP 79084 · Census Tract 48421950200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$119K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$163K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$234K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $83K | $87K | $98K | $100K | $94K | $95K | $108K | $126K | $147K | $155K | $157K | $165K | $163K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,436 | -$72,236 | -$68,336 | -$56,736 | -$55,336 | -$61,236 | -$59,836 | -$47,036 | -$29,636 | -$8,236 | +$1,571 | +$10,339 | +$8,012 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.6% | -46.6% | -44.0% | -36.6% | -35.7% | -39.5% | -38.6% | -30.3% | -19.1% | -5.3% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $129K | $123K | $119K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $205K | $234K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$129K to $207K
49.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$119K to $234K
70.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texhoma area | $150K | $163K | +8.7% | |
| Sherman (Tract 160002) | $589K | $562K | -4.6% | |
| Sherman (Tract 400005) | $583K | $552K | -5.3% | |
| Sherman (Tract 120000) | $557K | $502K | -9.8% | |
| Sherman (Tract 640001) | $578K | $483K | -16.3% | |
| Sherman (Tract 200001) | $596K | $481K | -19.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texhoma area | $150K | $163K | +8.7% | |
| Sherman (Tract 160002) | $589K | $562K | -4.6% | |
| Sherman (Tract 400005) | $583K | $552K | -5.3% | |
| Sherman (Tract 440007) | $616K | $577K | -6.4% | |
| Sherman (Tract 040009) | $741K | $682K | -7.9% | |
| Sherman (Tract 120000) | $557K | $502K | -9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texhoma area | $150K | $163K | $115K | |
| Sherman (Tract 240003) | $636K | $562K | $743K | |
| Sherman (Tract 400005) | $583K | $552K | $687K | |
| Sherman (Tract 120000) | $557K | $502K | $666K | |
| Sherman (Tract 200001) | $596K | $481K | $631K | |
| Sherman (Tract 640001) | $578K | $483K | $567K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Sherman, TX · ZIP 79084 · Census Tract 48421950200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$155K
Downside (P10)
$119K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$163K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$234K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $80K | $83K | $87K | $98K | $100K | $94K | $95K | $108K | $126K | $147K | $155K | $157K | $165K | $163K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$75,436 | -$72,236 | -$68,336 | -$56,736 | -$55,336 | -$61,236 | -$59,836 | -$47,036 | -$29,636 | -$8,236 | +$1,571 | +$10,339 | +$8,012 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.6% | -46.6% | -44.0% | -36.6% | -35.7% | -39.5% | -38.6% | -30.3% | -19.1% | -5.3% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +5.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $129K | $123K | $119K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $205K | $234K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$129K to $207K
49.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$119K to $234K
70.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texhoma area | $150K | $163K | +8.7% | |
| Sherman (Tract 160002) | $589K | $562K | -4.6% | |
| Sherman (Tract 400005) | $583K | $552K | -5.3% | |
| Sherman (Tract 120000) | $557K | $502K | -9.8% | |
| Sherman (Tract 640001) | $578K | $483K | -16.3% | |
| Sherman (Tract 200001) | $596K | $481K | -19.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texhoma area | $150K | $163K | +8.7% | |
| Sherman (Tract 160002) | $589K | $562K | -4.6% | |
| Sherman (Tract 400005) | $583K | $552K | -5.3% | |
| Sherman (Tract 440007) | $616K | $577K | -6.4% | |
| Sherman (Tract 040009) | $741K | $682K | -7.9% | |
| Sherman (Tract 120000) | $557K | $502K | -9.8% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texhoma area | $150K | $163K | $115K | |
| Sherman (Tract 240003) | $636K | $562K | $743K | |
| Sherman (Tract 400005) | $583K | $552K | $687K | |
| Sherman (Tract 120000) | $557K | $502K | $666K | |
| Sherman (Tract 200001) | $596K | $481K | $631K | |
| Sherman (Tract 640001) | $578K | $483K | $567K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
