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San Jacinto, TX · ZIP 77371 · Census Tract 48407200103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$198K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$289K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $126K | $165K | $168K | $193K | $198K | $200K | $211K | $215K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$56,918 | -$72,518 | -$33,718 | -$30,018 | -$5,118 | +$2,256 | +$12,472 | +$16,568 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.7% | -36.6% | -17.0% | -15.1% | -2.6% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $171K | $161K | $153K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $263K | $289K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$171K to $238K
33.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$153K to $289K
63.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd-Evergreen · Shepherd · (Tract 2001.3) | $196K | $215K | +9.7% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200302) | $195K | $229K | +17.7% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200105) | $228K | $250K | +9.4% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200301) | $226K | $235K | +3.9% | |
| Coldspring | $220K | $224K | +1.5% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200104) | $166K | $167K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd-Evergreen · Shepherd · (Tract 2001.3) | $196K | $215K | +9.7% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200302) | $195K | $229K | +17.7% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200105) | $228K | $250K | +9.4% | |
| Coldspring | $288K | $313K | +8.6% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200107) | $131K | $142K | +8.6% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200301) | $226K | $235K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd-Evergreen · Shepherd · (Tract 2001.3) | $196K | $215K | $135K | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200301) | $226K | $235K | $143K | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200302) | $195K | $229K | $140K | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200104) | $166K | $167K | $130K | |
| Coldspring | $220K | $224K | $114K | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200107) | $131K | $142K | $91K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
San Jacinto, TX · ZIP 77371 · Census Tract 48407200103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$198K
Downside (P10)
$153K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$215K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$289K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $141K | $126K | $165K | $168K | $193K | $198K | $200K | $211K | $215K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$56,918 | -$72,518 | -$33,718 | -$30,018 | -$5,118 | +$2,256 | +$12,472 | +$16,568 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -28.7% | -36.6% | -17.0% | -15.1% | -2.6% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +8.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $171K | $161K | $153K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $263K | $289K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$171K to $238K
33.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$153K to $289K
63.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd-Evergreen · Shepherd · (Tract 2001.3) | $196K | $215K | +9.7% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200302) | $195K | $229K | +17.7% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200105) | $228K | $250K | +9.4% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200301) | $226K | $235K | +3.9% | |
| Coldspring | $220K | $224K | +1.5% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200104) | $166K | $167K | +0.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd-Evergreen · Shepherd · (Tract 2001.3) | $196K | $215K | +9.7% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200302) | $195K | $229K | +17.7% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200105) | $228K | $250K | +9.4% | |
| Coldspring | $288K | $313K | +8.6% | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200107) | $131K | $142K | +8.6% | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200301) | $226K | $235K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shepherd-Evergreen · Shepherd · (Tract 2001.3) | $196K | $215K | $135K | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200301) | $226K | $235K | $143K | |
| Point Blank (Tract 200302) | $195K | $229K | $140K | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200104) | $166K | $167K | $130K | |
| Coldspring | $220K | $224K | $114K | |
| Shepherd-Evergreen (Tract 200107) | $131K | $142K | $91K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
