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San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78232 · Census Tract 48029121124 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$346K
Downside (P10)
$301K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$362K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$456K
+32% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $242K | $272K | $283K | $298K | $336K | $346K | $346K | $351K | $362K |
| YoY Change | +12.4% | +3.8% | +5.4% | +12.8% | +2.7% | +0.1% | +1.5% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $298K | $303K | $301K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $401K | $423K | $456K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$298K to $401K
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$301K to $456K
42.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stone Oak South · 78232 · (Tract 1211.24) | $341K | $362K | +6.2% | |
| Alamo Ranch | $345K | $375K | +8.9% | |
| San Antonio Northeast | $343K | $386K | +12.6% | |
| Northwest Crossing | $340K | $369K | +8.6% | |
| Helotes Area | $352K | $401K | +14.1% | |
| Alamo Heights | $354K | $405K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stone Oak South · 78232 · (Tract 1211.24) | $341K | $362K | +6.2% | |
| Westside (Tract 170402) | $117K | $151K | +28.6% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161504) | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| Southeast | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161503) | $173K | $206K | +19.5% | |
| Westside (Tract 170300) | $101K | $121K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stone Oak South · 78232 · (Tract 1211.24) | $341K | $362K | $155K | |
| Kelly | $84K | $84K | $46K | |
| Kirby | $113K | $123K | $48K | |
| Edgewood | $103K | $110K | $51K | |
| Avenida Guadalupe | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| East Side | $110K | $117K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.