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San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78230 · Census Tract 48029181200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$376K
Downside (P10)
$317K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$392K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$548K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $185K | $187K | $200K | $208K | $222K | $232K | $243K | $280K | $296K | $372K | $376K | $387K | $394K | $392K |
| YoY Change | +1.2% | +6.9% | +4.2% | +6.4% | +4.8% | +4.8% | +15.0% | +5.9% | +25.7% | +0.9% | +3.0% | +1.8% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $334K | $328K | $317K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $436K | $471K | $548K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$334K to $436K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$317K to $548K
58.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Hills · 78230 · (Tract 1812) | $374K | $392K | +4.9% | |
| Helotes Area | $377K | $442K | +17.2% | |
| Stone Oak South | $376K | $435K | +15.5% | |
| East Side | $375K | $398K | +6.2% | |
| Stone Oak East | $376K | $399K | +6.1% | |
| Oak Hills | $376K | $386K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Hills · 78230 · (Tract 1812) | $374K | $392K | +4.9% | |
| Westside (Tract 170402) | $117K | $151K | +28.6% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161504) | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| Southeast | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161503) | $173K | $206K | +19.5% | |
| Westside (Tract 170300) | $101K | $121K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oak Hills · 78230 · (Tract 1812) | $374K | $392K | $230K | |
| East Side | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| Avenida Guadalupe | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| Edgewood | $103K | $110K | $51K | |
| Kirby | $113K | $123K | $48K | |
| Kelly | $84K | $84K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.