Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
San Antonio, TX · ZIP 78244 · Census Tract 48029131616 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$205K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$261K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$340K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $167K | $194K | $228K | $252K | $248K | $247K | $254K | $261K |
| YoY Change | +4.3% | +16.7% | +17.1% | +10.5% | -1.4% | -0.4% | +2.8% | +2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $206K | $207K | $205K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $301K | $326K | $340K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$206K to $301K
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$205K to $340K
51.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Side · 78244 · (Tract 1316.16) | $249K | $261K | +4.9% | |
| Airport Area | $249K | $297K | +19.2% | |
| South San Antonio | $248K | $283K | +14.1% | |
| Windcrest | $249K | $281K | +12.6% | |
| San Antonio West | $247K | $271K | +9.7% | |
| Westover Hills | $247K | $248K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Side · 78244 · (Tract 1316.16) | $249K | $261K | +4.9% | |
| Westside (Tract 170402) | $117K | $151K | +28.6% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161504) | $166K | $200K | +20.5% | |
| Southeast | $180K | $216K | +19.8% | |
| Kelly (Tract 161503) | $173K | $206K | +19.5% | |
| Westside (Tract 170300) | $101K | $121K | +19.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Side · 78244 · (Tract 1316.16) | $249K | $261K | $136K | |
| East Side | $110K | $117K | $52K | |
| Avenida Guadalupe | $116K | $124K | $52K | |
| Edgewood | $103K | $110K | $51K | |
| Kirby | $113K | $123K | $48K | |
| Kelly | $84K | $84K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.