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Potter, TX · ZIP 79124 · Census Tract 48375014300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$320K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$465K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $179K | $173K | $181K | $194K | $207K | $206K | $249K | $267K | $302K | $306K | $310K | $323K | $320K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$146,052 | -$127,652 | -$133,752 | -$125,252 | -$112,652 | -$99,352 | -$100,852 | -$57,452 | -$39,752 | -$4,252 | +$3,774 | +$16,546 | +$14,059 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.7% | -41.7% | -43.7% | -40.9% | -36.8% | -32.4% | -32.9% | -18.8% | -13.0% | -1.4% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $271K | $264K | $254K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $400K | $435K | $465K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$271K to $400K
41.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$254K to $465K
66.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian River Breaks | $306K | $320K | +4.8% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013300) | $370K | $410K | +10.9% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013400) | $245K | $267K | +9.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013200) | $251K | $271K | +8.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010400) | $276K | $290K | +5.3% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010100) | $268K | $280K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian River Breaks | $306K | $320K | +4.8% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014900) | $95K | $111K | +16.9% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014800) | $92K | $107K | +16.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012600) | $94K | $109K | +15.4% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013900) | $115K | $131K | +13.6% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 011500) | $184K | $209K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian River Breaks | $306K | $320K | $211K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 015300) | $69K | $76K | $46K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012200) | $81K | $85K | $46K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012800) | $68K | $74K | $39K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010600) | $60K | $62K | $32K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013000) | $55K | $63K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Potter, TX · ZIP 79124 · Census Tract 48375014300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$306K
Downside (P10)
$254K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$320K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$465K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $179K | $173K | $181K | $194K | $207K | $206K | $249K | $267K | $302K | $306K | $310K | $323K | $320K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$146,052 | -$127,652 | -$133,752 | -$125,252 | -$112,652 | -$99,352 | -$100,852 | -$57,452 | -$39,752 | -$4,252 | +$3,774 | +$16,546 | +$14,059 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -47.7% | -41.7% | -43.7% | -40.9% | -36.8% | -32.4% | -32.9% | -18.8% | -13.0% | -1.4% | +1.2% | +5.4% | +4.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $271K | $264K | $254K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $400K | $435K | $465K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$271K to $400K
41.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$254K to $465K
66.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian River Breaks | $306K | $320K | +4.8% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013300) | $370K | $410K | +10.9% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013400) | $245K | $267K | +9.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013200) | $251K | $271K | +8.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010400) | $276K | $290K | +5.3% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010100) | $268K | $280K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian River Breaks | $306K | $320K | +4.8% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014900) | $95K | $111K | +16.9% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014800) | $92K | $107K | +16.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012600) | $94K | $109K | +15.4% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013900) | $115K | $131K | +13.6% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 011500) | $184K | $209K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canadian River Breaks | $306K | $320K | $211K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 015300) | $69K | $76K | $46K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012200) | $81K | $85K | $46K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012800) | $68K | $74K | $39K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010600) | $60K | $62K | $32K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013000) | $55K | $63K | $29K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
