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Potter, TX · ZIP 79106 · Census Tract 48375011800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$172K
Downside (P10)
$144K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$185K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$229K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $97K | $99K | $100K | $102K | $102K | $106K | $113K | $132K | $141K | $161K | $172K | $176K | $180K | $185K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | +1.1% | +2.0% | +0.2% | +3.9% | +6.1% | +17.3% | +6.1% | +14.7% | +7.0% | +1.8% | +2.5% | +2.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $153K | $151K | $144K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $211K | $216K | $229K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$153K to $211K
33.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$144K to $229K
46.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarillo · 79106 · (Tract 118) | $167K | $185K | +11.1% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 015100) | $181K | $191K | +5.9% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 011500) | $184K | $209K | +13.4% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014702) | $156K | $166K | +6.3% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 011700) | $155K | $163K | +5.2% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 011600) | $154K | $169K | +9.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarillo · 79106 · (Tract 118) | $167K | $185K | +11.1% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014900) | $95K | $111K | +16.9% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 014800) | $92K | $107K | +16.0% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012600) | $94K | $109K | +15.4% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013900) | $115K | $131K | +13.6% | |
| Amarillo (Tract 011500) | $184K | $209K | +13.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarillo · 79106 · (Tract 118) | $167K | $185K | $85K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 013000) | $55K | $63K | $29K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 010600) | $60K | $62K | $32K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012800) | $68K | $74K | $39K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 012200) | $81K | $85K | $46K | |
| Amarillo (Tract 015300) | $69K | $76K | $46K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.