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Orange, TX · ZIP 77630 · Census Tract 48361022302 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$330K
Downside (P10)
$281K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$331K
+0% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$519K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +0% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $221K | $268K | $307K | $335K | $324K | $330K | $327K | $333K | $331K | $336K |
| YoY Change | +21.2% | +14.6% | +9.0% | -3.3% | +1.9% | -0.7% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +1.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $291K | $294K | $281K | $298K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $407K | $444K | $519K | $377K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$291K to $407K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$298K to $377K
23.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridge City-Orangefield | $328K | $331K | +0.9% | |
| Bridge City-Orangefield (Tract 022200) | $296K | $303K | +2.4% | |
| Bridge City-Orangefield (Tract 022301) | $243K | $266K | +9.2% | |
| Orange (Tract 021300) | $220K | $240K | +8.9% | |
| Vidor | $203K | $230K | +13.1% | |
| Orange (Tract 021000) | $197K | $208K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridge City-Orangefield | $328K | $331K | +0.9% | |
| Vidor (Tract 021503) | $167K | $193K | +15.6% | |
| Vidor (Tract 021501) | $160K | $183K | +13.9% | |
| Vidor (Tract 021800) | $203K | $230K | +13.1% | |
| Orange | $88K | $100K | +12.5% | |
| Mauriceville | $194K | $217K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridge City-Orangefield | $328K | $331K | $237K | |
| Orange (Tract 020300) | $92K | $95K | $45K | |
| Vidor | $96K | $106K | $49K | |
| Orange (Tract 020200) | $88K | $100K | $50K | |
| Orange (Tract 020900) | $119K | $127K | $60K | |
| West Orange | $115K | $124K | $60K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.