What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48347951002 in Nacogdoches · 75961 · (Tract 9510.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $197,605 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48347951002 in Nacogdoches · 75961 · (Tract 9510.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $197,605 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.4%.

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Parcel 48347951002 (Nacogdoches) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48347951002, Nacogdoches · 75961 · (Tract 9510.2) Home Price Forecast

Nacogdoches, TX · ZIP 75961 · Census Tract 48347951002 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$198K

Downside (P10)

$178K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$216K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$286K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$127K	$131K	$163K	$166K	$185K	$198K	$207K	$209K	$216K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$70,705	-$66,505	-$34,705	-$31,805	-$12,405		+$9,050	+$11,817	+$18,620
Growth % vs 2026	-35.8%	-33.7%	-17.6%	-16.1%	-6.3%		+4.6%	+6.0%	+9.4%
Downside (P10)							$176K	$177K	$178K
Upside (P90)							$245K	$274K	$286K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$176K to $245K

33.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$178K to $286K

50.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.4% · Spread: 50%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48347951002, Nacogdoches · 75961 · (Tract 9510.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).