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Montgomery, TX · ZIP 77303 · Census Tract 48339694001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$374K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$389K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$531K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $187K | $274K | $320K | $368K | $374K | $373K | $401K | $389K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$195,762 | -$187,362 | -$99,862 | -$54,062 | -$6,362 | -$1,011 | +$27,250 | +$14,552 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.3% | -50.1% | -26.7% | -14.5% | -1.7% | -0.3% | +7.3% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $318K | $312K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $448K | $477K | $531K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$318K to $448K
34.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$312K to $531K
56.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroe North | $374K | $389K | +3.8% | |
| Kingwood | $366K | $5.04M | +1275.1% | |
| Willis | $384K | $446K | +16.2% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 691100) | $376K | $424K | +12.6% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 690502) | $381K | $413K | +8.6% | |
| Conroe | $380K | $392K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroe North | $374K | $389K | +3.8% | |
| New Caney | $594K | $26.02M | +4279.2% | |
| Kingwood | $366K | $5.04M | +1275.1% | |
| Porter | $1.07M | $2.37M | +120.7% | |
| Conroe West | $197K | $240K | +22.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroe North | $374K | $389K | $219K | |
| Southeast Montgomery | $188K | $201K | $99K | |
| New Caney | $134K | $148K | $90K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693104) | $147K | $153K | $73K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693103) | $133K | $150K | $71K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693903) | $105K | $116K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Montgomery, TX · ZIP 77303 · Census Tract 48339694001 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$374K
Downside (P10)
$312K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$389K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$531K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $178K | $187K | $274K | $320K | $368K | $374K | $373K | $401K | $389K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$195,762 | -$187,362 | -$99,862 | -$54,062 | -$6,362 | -$1,011 | +$27,250 | +$14,552 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -52.3% | -50.1% | -26.7% | -14.5% | -1.7% | -0.3% | +7.3% | +3.9% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $318K | $318K | $312K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $448K | $477K | $531K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$318K to $448K
34.8% of median
Long-horizon band
$312K to $531K
56.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroe North | $374K | $389K | +3.8% | |
| Kingwood | $366K | $5.04M | +1275.1% | |
| Willis | $384K | $446K | +16.2% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 691100) | $376K | $424K | +12.6% | |
| The Woodlands (Tract 690502) | $381K | $413K | +8.6% | |
| Conroe | $380K | $392K | +3.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroe North | $374K | $389K | +3.8% | |
| New Caney | $594K | $26.02M | +4279.2% | |
| Kingwood | $366K | $5.04M | +1275.1% | |
| Porter | $1.07M | $2.37M | +120.7% | |
| Conroe West | $197K | $240K | +22.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conroe North | $374K | $389K | $219K | |
| Southeast Montgomery | $188K | $201K | $99K | |
| New Caney | $134K | $148K | $90K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693104) | $147K | $153K | $73K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693103) | $133K | $150K | $71K | |
| Conroe (Tract 693903) | $105K | $116K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
