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Midland, TX · ZIP 79701 · Census Tract 48329010200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$223K
Downside (P10)
$191K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$239K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$340K
+52% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $93K | $111K | $105K | $108K | $110K | $111K | $106K | $161K | $183K | $213K | $223K | $220K | $237K | $239K |
| YoY Change | +18.8% | -5.3% | +2.9% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -4.3% | +51.8% | +13.6% | +16.8% | +4.7% | -1.4% | +7.5% | +0.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $198K | $201K | $191K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $285K | $300K | $340K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$198K to $285K
39.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$191K to $340K
62.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midland | $217K | $239K | +9.9% | |
| Midland South | $227K | $231K | +1.7% | |
| Midland (Tract 001700) | $218K | $228K | +4.4% | |
| Midland (Tract 000401) | $214K | $225K | +5.2% | |
| Midland (Tract 001300) | $236K | $250K | +6.1% | |
| Midland (Tract 001500) | $208K | $227K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midland | $217K | $239K | +9.9% | |
| Midland (Tract 001400) | $154K | $180K | +17.1% | |
| Midland South | $472K | $550K | +16.6% | |
| Midland (Tract 000305) | $362K | $417K | +15.3% | |
| Midland (Tract 010105) | $355K | $405K | +14.2% | |
| Midland (Tract 010122) | $370K | $421K | +14.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midland | $217K | $239K | $149K | |
| Midland South | $109K | $120K | $77K | |
| Midland (Tract 001400) | $154K | $180K | $104K | |
| Midland (Tract 001200) | $204K | $212K | $117K | |
| Midland (Tract 001700) | $218K | $228K | $122K | |
| Midland (Tract 000401) | $214K | $225K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.