What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48325000301 in Hondo?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $231,734 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48325000301 in Hondo?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $231,734 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.2%.

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Parcel 48325000301 (Hondo) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48325000301, Hondo Home Price Forecast

Medina, TX · ZIP 78861 · Census Tract 48325000301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$232K

Downside (P10)

$211K

-9% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$255K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$353K

+52% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -9% to +52%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$278K	$230K	$255K	$234K	$219K	$232K	$237K	$249K	$255K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$45,966	-$1,934	+$23,566	+$2,666	-$12,734		+$4,833	+$17,236	+$23,666
Growth % vs 2026	+19.8%	-0.8%	+10.2%	+1.2%	-5.5%		+2.1%	+7.4%	+10.2%
Downside (P10)							$203K	$212K	$211K
Upside (P90)							$277K	$321K	$353K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$203K to $277K

31.3% of median

Long-horizon band

$211K to $353K

55.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.2% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48325000301, Hondo on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).