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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
McLennan, TX · ZIP 76710 · Census Tract 48309002498 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$194K
Downside (P10)
$168K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$264K
+36% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $89K | $87K | $90K | $108K | $114K | $121K | $126K | $159K | $179K | $188K | $194K | $196K | $204K | $204K |
| YoY Change | -1.7% | +3.2% | +20.7% | +5.4% | +5.8% | +4.1% | +26.5% | +12.4% | +5.1% | +2.8% | +1.2% | +4.3% | -0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $167K | $167K | $168K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $233K | $252K | $264K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$167K to $233K
33.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$168K to $264K
47.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waco · 76710 · (Tract 24.98) | $194K | $204K | +5.1% | |
| Waco (Tract 003200) | $171K | $192K | +12.2% | |
| Mart | $171K | $190K | +11.5% | |
| Waco (Tract 002302) | $185K | $198K | +6.7% | |
| Waco (Tract 000401) | $169K | $178K | +5.8% | |
| Waco (Tract 000700) | $201K | $200K | -0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waco · 76710 · (Tract 24.98) | $194K | $204K | +5.1% | |
| Moody-Lorena | $223K | $264K | +18.4% | |
| Waco (Tract 003708) | $284K | $331K | +16.8% | |
| Waco (Tract 000598) | $103K | $118K | +14.9% | |
| Waco (Tract 000800) | $137K | $157K | +14.3% | |
| Waco (Tract 002100) | $108K | $122K | +13.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waco · 76710 · (Tract 24.98) | $194K | $204K | $96K | |
| Waco (Tract 000900) | $144K | $155K | $70K | |
| Waco (Tract 001401) | $111K | $123K | $64K | |
| Waco (Tract 002100) | $108K | $122K | $62K | |
| Waco (Tract 001100) | $110K | $120K | $58K | |
| Waco (Tract 000598) | $103K | $118K | $47K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.