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Lubbock, TX · ZIP 79364 · Census Tract 48303010601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$92K
Downside (P10)
$76K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$94K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $88K | $88K | $98K | $99K | $90K | $92K | $91K | $95K | $94K | $93K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$4,208 | -$3,308 | +$5,992 | +$7,492 | -$1,908 | -$375 | +$3,373 | +$2,193 | +$1,381 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -4.6% | -3.6% | +6.5% | +8.2% | -2.1% | -0.4% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +1.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $80K | $79K | $76K | $83K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $130K | $136K | $106K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$80K to $122K
46.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$83K to $106K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slaton | $91K | $94K | +2.9% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000304) | $84K | $95K | +12.2% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002301) | $99K | $110K | +10.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000202) | $85K | $89K | +5.5% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000700) | $90K | $95K | +5.4% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000901) | $98K | $101K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slaton | $91K | $94K | +2.9% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001808) | $174K | $216K | +23.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002500) | $117K | $138K | +17.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000402) | $199K | $230K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010423) | $316K | $366K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slaton | $91K | $94K | $60K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000304) | $84K | $95K | $42K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001200) | $74K | $84K | $41K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002401) | $77K | $86K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010204) | $60K | $67K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Lubbock, TX · ZIP 79364 · Census Tract 48303010601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$92K
Downside (P10)
$76K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$94K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$136K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $88K | $88K | $98K | $99K | $90K | $92K | $91K | $95K | $94K | $93K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$4,208 | -$3,308 | +$5,992 | +$7,492 | -$1,908 | -$375 | +$3,373 | +$2,193 | +$1,381 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -4.6% | -3.6% | +6.5% | +8.2% | -2.1% | -0.4% | +3.7% | +2.4% | +1.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $80K | $79K | $76K | $83K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $122K | $130K | $136K | $106K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$80K to $122K
46.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$83K to $106K
24.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slaton | $91K | $94K | +2.9% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000304) | $84K | $95K | +12.2% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002301) | $99K | $110K | +10.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000202) | $85K | $89K | +5.5% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000700) | $90K | $95K | +5.4% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000901) | $98K | $101K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slaton | $91K | $94K | +2.9% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001808) | $174K | $216K | +23.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002500) | $117K | $138K | +17.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000402) | $199K | $230K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010423) | $316K | $366K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slaton | $91K | $94K | $60K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000304) | $84K | $95K | $42K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001200) | $74K | $84K | $41K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002401) | $77K | $86K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010204) | $60K | $67K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
