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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lubbock, TX · ZIP 79413 · Census Tract 48303001906 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$190K
Downside (P10)
$163K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$204K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$270K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $133K | $135K | $147K | $172K | $177K | $190K | $195K | $202K | $204K | $184K |
| YoY Change | +1.9% | +8.3% | +17.7% | +2.5% | +7.4% | +2.7% | +3.9% | +1.1% | -9.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $164K | $163K | $163K | $164K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $238K | $259K | $270K | $207K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$164K to $238K
37.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$164K to $207K
23.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubbock · 79413 · (Tract 19.6) | $184K | $204K | +11.3% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010505) | $188K | $213K | +13.1% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000607) | $184K | $202K | +9.6% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002203) | $184K | $197K | +7.0% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000411) | $189K | $201K | +6.6% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002104) | $187K | $196K | +4.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubbock · 79413 · (Tract 19.6) | $184K | $204K | +11.3% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001808) | $174K | $216K | +23.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002500) | $117K | $138K | +17.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000402) | $199K | $230K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010423) | $316K | $366K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubbock · 79413 · (Tract 19.6) | $184K | $204K | $108K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000304) | $84K | $95K | $42K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001200) | $74K | $84K | $41K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002401) | $77K | $86K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010204) | $60K | $67K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.