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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Lubbock, TX · ZIP 79415 · Census Tract 48303000201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$261K
Downside (P10)
$223K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$277K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$370K
+42% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +42%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $124K | $179K | $180K | $194K | $201K | $211K | $212K | $125K | $252K | $261K | $259K | $271K | $277K |
| YoY Change | +43.8% | +0.4% | +8.1% | +3.3% | +5.3% | +0.4% | -41.2% | +102.0% | +3.6% | -0.7% | +4.4% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $223K | $219K | $223K | ||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $334K | $355K | $370K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$223K to $334K
42.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$223K to $370K
53.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubbock · 79415 · (Tract 2.1) | $256K | $277K | +8.2% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010510) | $271K | $306K | +13.0% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001717) | $263K | $289K | +10.2% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001713) | $264K | $291K | +10.1% | |
| Slaton | $266K | $288K | +8.4% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010413) | $264K | $284K | +7.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubbock · 79415 · (Tract 2.1) | $256K | $277K | +8.2% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001808) | $174K | $216K | +23.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002500) | $117K | $138K | +17.7% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000402) | $199K | $230K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010423) | $316K | $366K | +15.8% | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | +15.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lubbock · 79415 · (Tract 2.1) | $256K | $277K | $148K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 000304) | $84K | $95K | $42K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001200) | $74K | $84K | $41K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 001000) | $57K | $66K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 002401) | $77K | $86K | $38K | |
| Lubbock (Tract 010204) | $60K | $67K | $31K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.