What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48257051302 in Cedar Creek Lake?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $212,004 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48257051302 in Cedar Creek Lake?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $212,004 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.0%.

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Parcel 48257051302 (Cedar Creek Lake) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48257051302, Cedar Creek Lake Home Price Forecast

Kaufman, TX · ZIP 75143 · Census Tract 48257051302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$212K

Downside (P10)

$178K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$221K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$324K

+53% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +53%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$144K	$147K	$161K	$166K	$203K	$212K	$215K	$214K	$221K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$68,204	-$64,604	-$50,604	-$46,104	-$8,804		+$2,842	+$2,268	+$8,546
Growth % vs 2026	-32.2%	-30.5%	-23.9%	-21.7%	-4.2%		+1.3%	+1.1%	+4.0%
Downside (P10)							$185K	$185K	$178K
Upside (P90)							$261K	$284K	$324K

Forecast Confidence

64%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$185K to $261K

35.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$178K to $324K

66.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.0% · Spread: 66%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 48257051302, Cedar Creek Lake on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).