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Johnson, TX · ZIP 76033 · Census Tract 48251130602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$355K
Downside (P10)
$293K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$363K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$426K
+20% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +20%. The model forecasts this with 80% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $137K | $150K | $158K | $169K | $188K | $239K | $255K | $296K | $313K | $338K | $355K | $355K | $363K | $363K |
| YoY Change | +9.0% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +11.3% | +27.1% | +6.6% | +16.0% | +5.8% | +8.2% | +5.0% | +0.1% | +2.2% | -0.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $287K | $290K | $293K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $419K | $423K | $426K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$287K to $419K
37.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$293K to $426K
36.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleburne · 76033 · (Tract 1306.2) | $344K | $363K | +5.5% | |
| Burleson-Joshua (Tract 130210) | $327K | $371K | +13.5% | |
| Burleson-Joshua (Tract 130220) | $369K | $410K | +11.1% | |
| Burleson-Joshua (Tract 130211) | $353K | $380K | +7.5% | |
| Burleson-Joshua (Tract 130214) | $373K | $400K | +7.2% | |
| Alvarado | $392K | $408K | +4.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleburne · 76033 · (Tract 1306.2) | $344K | $363K | +5.5% | |
| Cleburne (Tract 131100) | $217K | $251K | +15.9% | |
| Alvarado | $253K | $292K | +15.4% | |
| Godley | $431K | $493K | +14.3% | |
| Cleburne (Tract 130900) | $133K | $152K | +13.7% | |
| Burleson | $297K | $337K | +13.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleburne · 76033 · (Tract 1306.2) | $344K | $363K | $133K | |
| Cleburne (Tract 130700) | $190K | $196K | $112K | |
| Alvarado | $148K | $155K | $102K | |
| Cleburne (Tract 130603) | $162K | $180K | $79K | |
| Cleburne (Tract 130900) | $133K | $152K | $71K | |
| Cleburne (Tract 130800) | $108K | $116K | $63K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.