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Hill, TX · ZIP 76648 · Census Tract 48217961400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$126K
Downside (P10)
$109K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$130K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$199K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $77K | $85K | $90K | $99K | $97K | $89K | $91K | $106K | $114K | $122K | $126K | $125K | $128K | $130K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,639 | -$41,139 | -$36,039 | -$26,639 | -$29,239 | -$37,339 | -$34,439 | -$19,439 | -$11,539 | -$3,839 | -$753 | +$2,119 | +$3,748 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.7% | -32.7% | -28.6% | -21.2% | -23.2% | -29.7% | -27.4% | -15.4% | -9.2% | -3.1% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $114K | $107K | $109K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $155K | $181K | $199K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$114K to $155K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$109K to $199K
69.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone-Penelope area | $125K | $130K | +3.8% | |
| Whitney (Tract 960501) | $176K | $207K | +17.8% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960900) | $68K | $75K | +9.9% | |
| Whitney (Tract 960600) | $105K | $114K | +9.1% | |
| Whitney (Tract 960400) | $108K | $118K | +8.6% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 961000) | $92K | $95K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone-Penelope area | $125K | $130K | +3.8% | |
| Whitney | $176K | $207K | +17.8% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960800) | $270K | $302K | +11.9% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 961100) | $245K | $273K | +11.5% | |
| Blum | $225K | $250K | +11.3% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960900) | $68K | $75K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone-Penelope area | $125K | $130K | $90K | |
| Whitney (Tract 960501) | $176K | $207K | $108K | |
| Whitney (Tract 960400) | $108K | $118K | $85K | |
| Whitney (Tract 960600) | $105K | $114K | $69K | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 961000) | $92K | $95K | $56K | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960900) | $68K | $75K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hill, TX · ZIP 76648 · Census Tract 48217961400 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$126K
Downside (P10)
$109K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$130K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$199K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $77K | $85K | $90K | $99K | $97K | $89K | $91K | $106K | $114K | $122K | $126K | $125K | $128K | $130K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$48,639 | -$41,139 | -$36,039 | -$26,639 | -$29,239 | -$37,339 | -$34,439 | -$19,439 | -$11,539 | -$3,839 | -$753 | +$2,119 | +$3,748 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.7% | -32.7% | -28.6% | -21.2% | -23.2% | -29.7% | -27.4% | -15.4% | -9.2% | -3.1% | -0.6% | +1.7% | +3.0% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $114K | $107K | $109K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $155K | $181K | $199K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$114K to $155K
33.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$109K to $199K
69.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone-Penelope area | $125K | $130K | +3.8% | |
| Whitney (Tract 960501) | $176K | $207K | +17.8% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960900) | $68K | $75K | +9.9% | |
| Whitney (Tract 960600) | $105K | $114K | +9.1% | |
| Whitney (Tract 960400) | $108K | $118K | +8.6% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 961000) | $92K | $95K | +3.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone-Penelope area | $125K | $130K | +3.8% | |
| Whitney | $176K | $207K | +17.8% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960800) | $270K | $302K | +11.9% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 961100) | $245K | $273K | +11.5% | |
| Blum | $225K | $250K | +11.3% | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960900) | $68K | $75K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malone-Penelope area | $125K | $130K | $90K | |
| Whitney (Tract 960501) | $176K | $207K | $108K | |
| Whitney (Tract 960400) | $108K | $118K | $85K | |
| Whitney (Tract 960600) | $105K | $114K | $69K | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 961000) | $92K | $95K | $56K | |
| Hillsboro (Tract 960900) | $68K | $75K | $35K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
