What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48215020513 in McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 205.13)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $92,236 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48215020513 in McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 205.13)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $92,236 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.3%.

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Parcel 48215020513 (McAllen) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48215020513, McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 205.13) Home Price Forecast

Hidalgo, TX · ZIP 78503 · Census Tract 48215020513 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$92K

Downside (P10)

$77K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$101K

+9% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$126K

+36% by 2030

Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +36%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$82K	$82K	$86K	$85K	$90K	$92K	$95K	$99K	$101K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$10,736	-$10,536	-$6,536	-$7,536	-$1,836		+$2,328	+$6,604	+$8,624
Growth % vs 2026	-11.6%	-11.4%	-7.1%	-8.2%	-2.0%		+2.5%	+7.2%	+9.3%
Downside (P10)							$77K	$78K	$77K
Upside (P90)							$114K	$117K	$126K

Forecast Confidence

73%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$77K to $114K

39.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$77K to $126K

48.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.3% · Spread: 49%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48215020513, McAllen · 78503 · (Tract 205.13) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).