What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48213950801 in Cedar Creek Lake?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $163,387 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48213950801 in Cedar Creek Lake?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $163,387 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 10.7%.

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Parcel 48213950801 (Cedar Creek Lake) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48213950801, Cedar Creek Lake Home Price Forecast

Henderson, TX · ZIP 75143 · Census Tract 48213950801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$163K

Downside (P10)

$140K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$181K

+11% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$224K

+37% by 2030

Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$108K	$116K	$113K	$119K	$155K	$163K	$168K	$174K	$181K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$55,887	-$47,287	-$50,387	-$44,787	-$7,987		+$4,890	+$10,721	+$17,554
Growth % vs 2026	-34.2%	-28.9%	-30.8%	-27.4%	-4.9%		+3.0%	+6.6%	+10.7%
Downside (P10)							$141K	$146K	$140K
Upside (P90)							$187K	$197K	$224K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$141K to $187K

27.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$140K to $224K

46.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +10.7% · Spread: 47%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48213950801, Cedar Creek Lake on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).