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Hays, TX · ZIP 78610 · Census Tract 48209010922 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$344K
Downside (P10)
$286K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$402K
+17% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +17% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $224K | $230K | $272K | $307K | $332K | $344K | $364K | $382K | $402K |
| YoY Change | +2.6% | +18.3% | +13.1% | +7.9% | +3.8% | +5.7% | +4.9% | +5.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $301K | $294K | $286K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $482K | $484K | $543K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$301K to $482K
49.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$286K to $543K
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle-Buda · Buda · (Tract 109.22) | $336K | $402K | +19.9% | |
| Kyle | $352K | $400K | +13.5% | |
| Kyle-Buda (Tract 010920) | $346K | $389K | +12.4% | |
| Kyle-Buda (Tract 010919) | $338K | $370K | +9.6% | |
| San Marcos | $339K | $368K | +8.7% | |
| Kyle-Buda (Tract 010916) | $345K | $366K | +6.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle-Buda · Buda · (Tract 109.22) | $336K | $402K | +19.9% | |
| San Marcos | $441K | $530K | +20.1% | |
| Kyle-Buda (Tract 010913) | $456K | $541K | +18.6% | |
| Dripping Springs-Wimberley | $537K | $622K | +15.7% | |
| Kyle-Buda (Tract 010923) | $382K | $435K | +13.9% | |
| Kyle | $352K | $400K | +13.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle-Buda · Buda · (Tract 109.22) | $336K | $402K | $256K | |
| Kyle-Buda | $187K | $198K | $150K | |
| San Marcos (Tract 010306) | $225K | $250K | $125K | |
| San Marcos (Tract 010302) | $171K | $180K | $104K | |
| San Marcos (Tract 010401) | $157K | $176K | $95K | |
| San Marcos (Tract 010307) | $140K | $146K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.