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Harrison, TX · ZIP 75640 · Census Tract 48203020201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$138K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$177K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$254K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $170K | $188K | $224K | $168K | $170K | $169K | $175K | $177K | $175K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$10,415 | +$85 | +$17,885 | +$54,385 | -$1,415 | -$633 | +$5,299 | +$7,719 | +$5,671 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -6.1% | +0.1% | +10.5% | +32.1% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +4.6% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $154K | $146K | $138K | $155K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $224K | $254K | $199K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$154K to $207K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$155K to $199K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harleton | $168K | $177K | +5.3% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020104) | $159K | $177K | +11.1% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020103) | $193K | $211K | +9.1% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020502) | $151K | $163K | +7.8% | |
| Hallsville | $203K | $217K | +7.1% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020301) | $202K | $209K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harleton | $168K | $177K | +5.3% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020402) | $132K | $155K | +17.2% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020302) | $107K | $121K | +13.6% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020104) | $159K | $177K | +11.1% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020106) | $110K | $123K | +11.0% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020105) | $218K | $240K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harleton | $168K | $177K | $116K | |
| Waskom | $110K | $123K | $79K | |
| Marshall (Tract 020501) | $117K | $124K | $72K | |
| Harleton | $122K | $128K | $67K | |
| Marshall (Tract 020401) | $88K | $97K | $57K | |
| Marshall (Tract 020302) | $107K | $121K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Harrison, TX · ZIP 75640 · Census Tract 48203020201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$170K
Downside (P10)
$138K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$177K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$254K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $170K | $188K | $224K | $168K | $170K | $169K | $175K | $177K | $175K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$10,415 | +$85 | +$17,885 | +$54,385 | -$1,415 | -$633 | +$5,299 | +$7,719 | +$5,671 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -6.1% | +0.1% | +10.5% | +32.1% | -0.8% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +4.6% | +3.3% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $154K | $146K | $138K | $155K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $207K | $224K | $254K | $199K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$154K to $207K
31.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$155K to $199K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harleton | $168K | $177K | +5.3% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020104) | $159K | $177K | +11.1% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020103) | $193K | $211K | +9.1% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020502) | $151K | $163K | +7.8% | |
| Hallsville | $203K | $217K | +7.1% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020301) | $202K | $209K | +3.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harleton | $168K | $177K | +5.3% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020402) | $132K | $155K | +17.2% | |
| Marshall (Tract 020302) | $107K | $121K | +13.6% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020104) | $159K | $177K | +11.1% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020106) | $110K | $123K | +11.0% | |
| Waskom (Tract 020105) | $218K | $240K | +9.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harleton | $168K | $177K | $116K | |
| Waskom | $110K | $123K | $79K | |
| Marshall (Tract 020501) | $117K | $124K | $72K | |
| Harleton | $122K | $128K | $67K | |
| Marshall (Tract 020401) | $88K | $97K | $57K | |
| Marshall (Tract 020302) | $107K | $121K | $48K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
