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Grayson, TX · ZIP 75459 · Census Tract 48181001901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$332K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$353K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$480K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $194K | $219K | $265K | $298K | $331K | $332K | $336K | $346K | $353K | $348K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$138,345 | -$113,145 | -$67,245 | -$34,445 | -$1,145 | +$3,993 | +$13,830 | +$21,108 | +$15,792 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.6% | -34.0% | -20.2% | -10.4% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +4.2% | +6.4% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $294K | $285K | $295K | $306K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $439K | $480K | $388K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$294K to $402K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$306K to $388K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Grayson | $333K | $353K | +6.1% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000305) | $297K | $321K | +8.0% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 001104) | $352K | $375K | +6.4% | |
| East Grayson (Tract 000901) | $331K | $352K | +6.4% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000302) | $290K | $305K | +5.2% | |
| East Grayson (Tract 001801) | $316K | $322K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Grayson | $333K | $353K | +6.1% | |
| Sherman | $282K | $332K | +17.6% | |
| Denison | $120K | $139K | +16.3% | |
| East Grayson | $271K | $307K | +13.3% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000304) | $251K | $282K | +12.3% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000306) | $222K | $248K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Grayson | $333K | $353K | $186K | |
| East Grayson (Tract 001500) | $151K | $159K | $92K | |
| Denison (Tract 000502) | $120K | $139K | $89K | |
| East Grayson (Tract 000400) | $144K | $154K | $87K | |
| Denison (Tract 000700) | $151K | $167K | $79K | |
| East Grayson (Tract 001400) | $125K | $131K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Grayson, TX · ZIP 75459 · Census Tract 48181001901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$332K
Downside (P10)
$295K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$353K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$480K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $194K | $219K | $265K | $298K | $331K | $332K | $336K | $346K | $353K | $348K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$138,345 | -$113,145 | -$67,245 | -$34,445 | -$1,145 | +$3,993 | +$13,830 | +$21,108 | +$15,792 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -41.6% | -34.0% | -20.2% | -10.4% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +4.2% | +6.4% | +4.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $294K | $285K | $295K | $306K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $402K | $439K | $480K | $388K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$294K to $402K
32.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$306K to $388K
23.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Grayson | $333K | $353K | +6.1% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000305) | $297K | $321K | +8.0% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 001104) | $352K | $375K | +6.4% | |
| East Grayson (Tract 000901) | $331K | $352K | +6.4% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000302) | $290K | $305K | +5.2% | |
| East Grayson (Tract 001801) | $316K | $322K | +2.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Grayson | $333K | $353K | +6.1% | |
| Sherman | $282K | $332K | +17.6% | |
| Denison | $120K | $139K | +16.3% | |
| East Grayson | $271K | $307K | +13.3% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000304) | $251K | $282K | +12.3% | |
| Northwest Grayson (Tract 000306) | $222K | $248K | +11.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southwest Grayson | $333K | $353K | $186K | |
| East Grayson (Tract 001500) | $151K | $159K | $92K | |
| Denison (Tract 000502) | $120K | $139K | $89K | |
| East Grayson (Tract 000400) | $144K | $154K | $87K | |
| Denison (Tract 000700) | $151K | $167K | $79K | |
| East Grayson (Tract 001400) | $125K | $131K | $75K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
