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Galveston, TX · ZIP 77518 · Census Tract 48167721701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$137K
Downside (P10)
$123K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$197K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $145K | $127K | $136K | $137K | $140K | $150K | $153K | $141K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$9,868 | +$8,032 | -$9,868 | -$1,068 | +$3,022 | +$13,057 | +$16,548 | +$4,383 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -7.2% | +5.9% | -7.2% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +9.5% | +12.1% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $126K | $127K | $123K | $125K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $163K | $176K | $197K | $160K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$126K to $163K
26.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$125K to $160K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | +12.1% | |
| Texas City-League City | $144K | $166K | +14.6% | |
| Texas City (Tract 722600) | $158K | $176K | +11.6% | |
| Texas City (Tract 726200) | $155K | $172K | +11.0% | |
| Galveston | $157K | $170K | +8.1% | |
| Texas City (Tract 722200) | $143K | $145K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | +12.1% | |
| Friendswood | $374K | $462K | +23.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725500) | $391K | $474K | +21.2% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723401) | $171K | $202K | +17.5% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723504) | $285K | $332K | +16.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725700) | $353K | $412K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | $74K | |
| Texas City-League City | $171K | $202K | $95K | |
| Galveston | $181K | $199K | $94K | |
| Bacliff | $177K | $200K | $91K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722700) | $168K | $175K | $87K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722200) | $143K | $145K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Galveston, TX · ZIP 77518 · Census Tract 48167721701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$137K
Downside (P10)
$123K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$153K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$197K
+44% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +44%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $127K | $145K | $127K | $136K | $137K | $140K | $150K | $153K | $141K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$9,868 | +$8,032 | -$9,868 | -$1,068 | +$3,022 | +$13,057 | +$16,548 | +$4,383 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -7.2% | +5.9% | -7.2% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +9.5% | +12.1% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $126K | $127K | $123K | $125K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $163K | $176K | $197K | $160K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$126K to $163K
26.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$125K to $160K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | +12.1% | |
| Texas City-League City | $144K | $166K | +14.6% | |
| Texas City (Tract 722600) | $158K | $176K | +11.6% | |
| Texas City (Tract 726200) | $155K | $172K | +11.0% | |
| Galveston | $157K | $170K | +8.1% | |
| Texas City (Tract 722200) | $143K | $145K | +1.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | +12.1% | |
| Friendswood | $374K | $462K | +23.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725500) | $391K | $474K | +21.2% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723401) | $171K | $202K | +17.5% | |
| Texas City-League City (Tract 723504) | $285K | $332K | +16.6% | |
| Galveston (Tract 725700) | $353K | $412K | +16.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bacliff | $137K | $153K | $74K | |
| Texas City-League City | $171K | $202K | $95K | |
| Galveston | $181K | $199K | $94K | |
| Bacliff | $177K | $200K | $91K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722700) | $168K | $175K | $87K | |
| Texas City (Tract 722200) | $143K | $145K | $59K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
