What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48163950301 in Dilley?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $102,755 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48163950301 in Dilley?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $102,755 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.1%.

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Parcel 48163950301 (Dilley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48163950301, Dilley Home Price Forecast

Frio, TX · ZIP 78017 · Census Tract 48163950301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$103K

Downside (P10)

$81K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$110K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$136K

+32% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +32%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$159K	$96K	$97K	$103K	$102K	$107K	$110K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$56,345	-$6,455	-$5,655		-$732	+$4,676	+$7,307
Growth % vs 2026	+54.8%	-6.3%	-5.5%		-0.7%	+4.6%	+7.1%
Downside (P10)					$86K	$83K	$81K
Upside (P90)					$118K	$132K	$136K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$86K to $118K

31.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$81K to $136K

50.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.1% · Spread: 50%

·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48163950301, Dilley on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).