What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48163950302 in Dilley · 78017 · (Tract 9503.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $119,353 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48163950302 in Dilley · 78017 · (Tract 9503.2)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $119,353 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.9%.

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Parcel 48163950302 (Dilley) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48163950302, Dilley · 78017 · (Tract 9503.2) Home Price Forecast

Frio, TX · ZIP 78017 · Census Tract 48163950302 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$119K

Downside (P10)

$103K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$136K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$167K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 74% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$68K	$113K	$114K	$112K	$112K	$119K	$121K	$124K	$136K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$51,553	-$6,853	-$5,553	-$7,853	-$7,453		+$1,156	+$4,919	+$16,551
Growth % vs 2026	-43.2%	-5.7%	-4.7%	-6.6%	-6.2%		+1.0%	+4.1%	+13.9%
Downside (P10)							$109K	$106K	$103K
Upside (P90)							$140K	$151K	$167K

Forecast Confidence

74%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$109K to $140K

26.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$103K to $167K

46.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.9% · Spread: 47%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48163950302, Dilley · 78017 · (Tract 9503.2) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).