What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157672901 in Sugar Land?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $498,516 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48157672901 in Sugar Land?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $498,516 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 8.0%.

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Parcel 48157672901 (Sugar Land) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48157672901, Sugar Land Home Price Forecast

Fort Bend, TX · ZIP 77407 · Census Tract 48157672901 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$499K

Downside (P10)

$436K

-13% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$539K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$705K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$361K	$364K	$423K	$451K	$490K	$499K	$511K	$524K	$539K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$137,416	-$134,516	-$75,916	-$47,716	-$8,916		+$12,954	+$25,542	+$40,060
Growth % vs 2026	-27.6%	-27.0%	-15.2%	-9.6%	-1.8%		+2.6%	+5.1%	+8.0%
Downside (P10)							$404K	$425K	$436K
Upside (P90)							$623K	$650K	$705K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$404K to $623K

42.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$436K to $705K

50.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +8.0% · Spread: 50%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48157672901, Sugar Land on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).