Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
El Paso, TX · ZIP 79922 · Census Tract 48141001400 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$70K
Downside (P10)
$62K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$76K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$103K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $67K | $67K | $70K | $74K | $82K | $79K | $91K | $93K | $80K | $69K | $70K | $73K | $76K | $76K |
| YoY Change | -0.6% | +4.3% | +6.0% | +11.4% | -4.3% | +15.6% | +2.5% | -14.0% | -13.6% | +0.9% | +4.7% | +3.3% | +0.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $62K | $64K | $62K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $87K | $94K | $103K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$62K to $87K
34.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$62K to $103K
53.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso · 79922 · (Tract 14) | $70K | $76K | +8.7% | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010504) | $77K | $86K | +11.6% | |
| El Paso Northwest area | $85K | $94K | +10.7% | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010502) | $86K | $95K | +10.4% | |
| El Paso | $79K | $84K | +5.7% | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010347) | $87K | $92K | +4.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso · 79922 · (Tract 14) | $70K | $76K | +8.7% | |
| El Paso East | $241K | $286K | +18.6% | |
| El Paso (Tract 000113) | $138K | $164K | +18.1% | |
| El Paso (Tract 010354) | $212K | $250K | +18.0% | |
| El Paso (Tract 010349) | $164K | $192K | +17.2% | |
| El Paso (Tract 003100) | $113K | $131K | +16.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso · 79922 · (Tract 14) | $70K | $76K | $41K | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010411) | $121K | $127K | $48K | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010505) | $97K | $106K | $47K | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010333) | $92K | $100K | $43K | |
| El Paso East (Tract 010504) | $77K | $86K | $42K | |
| El Paso | $79K | $84K | $38K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.