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Denton, TX · ZIP 75033 · Census Tract 48121021528 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$592K
Downside (P10)
$428K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$678K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$931K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $394K | $407K | $463K | $499K | $569K | $592K | $632K | $671K | $678K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +13.8% | +7.8% | +14.0% | +4.0% | +6.8% | +6.1% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $475K | $453K | $428K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $805K | $847K | $931K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$475K to $805K
52.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$428K to $931K
74.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
No comparable areas found for this neighborhood. This usually happens when only a small number of tracts in the county have forecast coverage.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources