What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020135 in Pilot Point-Aubrey?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $356,029 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.9%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020135 in Pilot Point-Aubrey?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $356,029 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.9%.

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Parcel 48121020135 (Pilot Point-Aubrey) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121020135, Pilot Point-Aubrey Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 76227 · Census Tract 48121020135 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$356K

Downside (P10)

$321K

-10% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$405K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$557K

+57% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$250K	$270K	$298K	$324K	$339K	$356K	$370K	$396K	$405K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$106,429	-$85,629	-$57,929	-$31,929	-$16,729		+$13,791	+$40,106	+$49,332
Growth % vs 2026	-29.9%	-24.1%	-16.3%	-9.0%	-4.7%		+3.9%	+11.3%	+13.9%
Downside (P10)							$312K	$318K	$321K
Upside (P90)							$463K	$514K	$557K

Forecast Confidence

68%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$312K to $463K

41.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$321K to $557K

58.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.9% · Spread: 58%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48121020135, Pilot Point-Aubrey on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).