What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020132 in Little Elm?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $455,998 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.0%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020132 in Little Elm?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $455,998 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 14.0%.

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Parcel 48121020132 (Little Elm) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121020132, Little Elm Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 75068 · Census Tract 48121020132 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$456K

Downside (P10)

$433K

-5% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$520K

+14% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$641K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -5% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 78% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$345K	$354K	$439K	$447K	$459K	$456K	$472K	$489K	$520K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$111,498	-$101,998	-$17,298	-$9,198	+$3,302		+$15,714	+$32,993	+$63,761
Growth % vs 2026	-24.5%	-22.4%	-3.8%	-2.0%	+0.7%		+3.4%	+7.2%	+14.0%
Downside (P10)							$417K	$432K	$433K
Upside (P90)							$550K	$597K	$641K

Forecast Confidence

78%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$417K to $550K

28.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$433K to $641K

40.0% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +14.0% · Spread: 40%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48121020132, Little Elm on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).