What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020120 in Little Elm?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $378,015 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.8%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020120 in Little Elm?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $378,015 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 9.8%.

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Parcel 48121020120 (Little Elm) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121020120, Little Elm Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 75068 · Census Tract 48121020120 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$378K

Downside (P10)

$297K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$415K

+10% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$588K

+56% by 2030

Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 61% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$247K	$262K	$298K	$329K	$361K	$378K	$386K	$394K	$415K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$130,615	-$115,615	-$80,415	-$49,515	-$16,715		+$7,679	+$16,183	+$36,970
Growth % vs 2026	-34.6%	-30.6%	-21.3%	-13.1%	-4.4%		+2.0%	+4.3%	+9.8%
Downside (P10)							$322K	$308K	$297K
Upside (P90)							$466K	$515K	$588K

Forecast Confidence

61%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$322K to $466K

37.5% of median

Long-horizon band

$297K to $588K

70.2% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +9.8% · Spread: 70%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 48121020120, Little Elm on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).