What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020119 in Little Elm?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $356,373 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121020119 in Little Elm?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $356,373 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.6%.

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Parcel 48121020119 (Little Elm) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121020119, Little Elm Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 75068 · Census Tract 48121020119 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$356K

Downside (P10)

$303K

-15% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$384K

+8% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$516K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$230K	$245K	$282K	$318K	$351K	$356K	$365K	$385K	$384K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$126,373	-$111,673	-$73,973	-$38,573	-$5,673		+$8,247	+$28,258	+$27,220
Growth % vs 2026	-35.5%	-31.3%	-20.8%	-10.8%	-1.6%		+2.3%	+7.9%	+7.6%
Downside (P10)							$316K	$302K	$303K
Upside (P90)							$446K	$474K	$516K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$316K to $446K

35.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$303K to $516K

55.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.6% · Spread: 56%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48121020119, Little Elm on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).