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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Denton, TX · ZIP 75033 · Census Tract 48121021528 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$592K
Downside (P10)
$428K
-28% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$678K
+15% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$931K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -28% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 59% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $394K | $407K | $463K | $499K | $569K | $592K | $632K | $671K | $678K |
| YoY Change | +3.3% | +13.8% | +7.8% | +14.0% | +4.0% | +6.8% | +6.1% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $475K | $453K | $428K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $805K | $847K | $931K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. This typically reflects limited transaction history, high price variance, or rapid neighborhood change.
1-Year Spread
$475K to $805K
52.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$428K to $931K
74.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco · 75033 · (Tract 215.28) | $583K | $678K | +16.3% | |
| Flower Mound (Tract 021720) | $596K | $681K | +14.3% | |
| Lewisville | $598K | $644K | +7.7% | |
| Lewisville-Flower Mound (Tract 021410) | $574K | $614K | +6.8% | |
| Flower Mound (Tract 021752) | $595K | $618K | +3.9% | |
| Lewisville-Flower Mound (Tract 021755) | $575K | $580K | +0.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco · 75033 · (Tract 215.28) | $583K | $678K | +16.3% | |
| Denton | $240K | $295K | +23.2% | |
| Justin-Roanoke | $464K | $564K | +21.6% | |
| The Colony | $734K | $876K | +19.3% | |
| Carrollton | $489K | $577K | +18.0% | |
| Pilot Point-Aubrey | $345K | $405K | +17.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frisco · 75033 · (Tract 215.28) | $583K | $678K | $503K | |
| Denton (Tract 020605) | $240K | $295K | $138K | |
| Denton (Tract 020800) | $235K | $258K | $112K | |
| Denton (Tract 020603) | $220K | $234K | $103K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.