What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121021650 in Carrollton · 75010 · (Tract 216.50)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $621,735 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48121021650 in Carrollton · 75010 · (Tract 216.50)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $621,735 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 15.1%.

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Parcel 48121021650 (Carrollton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48121021650, Carrollton · 75010 · (Tract 216.50) Home Price Forecast

Denton, TX · ZIP 75010 · Census Tract 48121021650 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$622K

Downside (P10)

$549K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$716K

+15% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$863K

+39% by 2030

Base case: +15% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$438K	$470K	$555K	$572K	$598K	$622K	$637K	$668K	$716K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$183,535	-$151,935	-$66,835	-$49,835	-$23,335		+$15,282	+$46,186	+$94,157
Growth % vs 2026	-29.5%	-24.4%	-10.7%	-8.0%	-3.8%		+2.5%	+7.4%	+15.1%
Downside (P10)							$541K	$535K	$549K
Upside (P90)							$738K	$808K	$863K

Forecast Confidence

76%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$541K to $738K

31.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$549K to $863K

43.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +15.1% · Spread: 44%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48121021650, Carrollton · 75010 · (Tract 216.50) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).