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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Dallas, TX · ZIP 75241 · Census Tract 48113020200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$159K
Downside (P10)
$125K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$169K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$239K
+51% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $61K | $57K | $61K | $69K | $74K | $89K | $92K | $108K | $112K | $157K | $159K | $158K | $169K | $169K | $161K |
| YoY Change | -5.9% | +7.0% | +11.7% | +8.2% | +20.5% | +2.9% | +17.0% | +4.0% | +40.3% | +1.0% | -0.2% | +6.5% | +0.5% | -4.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $140K | $141K | $125K | $144K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $198K | $229K | $239K | $185K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$140K to $198K
36.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$144K to $185K
25.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dallas | $159K | $169K | +6.5% | |
| Lake Highlands (Tract 018508) | $157K | $178K | +13.1% | |
| Pleasant Grove (Tract 009203) | $160K | $178K | +11.1% | |
| Lake Highlands (Tract 007829) | $158K | $174K | +9.9% | |
| South Dallas | $160K | $171K | +6.7% | |
| Pleasant Grove (Tract 008402) | $156K | $162K | +3.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dallas | $159K | $169K | +6.5% | |
| Knox-Henderson | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Pleasant Grove | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Grand Prairie | $259K | $315K | +21.3% | |
| Irving | $229K | $277K | +20.9% | |
| Far North Dallas | $629K | $756K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Dallas | $159K | $169K | $115K | |
| Balch Springs | $118K | $131K | $69K | |
| South Oak Cliff | $127K | $145K | $66K | |
| Lake Highlands | $96K | $98K | $45K | |
| Seagoville | $62K | $69K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.