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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Dallas, TX · ZIP 75243 · Census Tract 48113007805 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$367K
Downside (P10)
$322K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$388K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$491K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $150K | $152K | $177K | $186K | $224K | $287K | $295K | $334K | $359K | $367K | $374K | $379K | $388K |
| YoY Change | -5.7% | +1.5% | +16.4% | +4.9% | +20.3% | +28.2% | +2.8% | +13.2% | +7.6% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +1.3% | +2.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $309K | $321K | $322K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $447K | $455K | $491K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$309K to $447K
37.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$322K to $491K
43.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Highlands | $364K | $388K | +6.7% | |
| Richardson (Tract 019102) | $363K | $415K | +14.4% | |
| Downtown Dallas | $365K | $416K | +13.9% | |
| Richardson (Tract 019037) | $363K | $412K | +13.5% | |
| Garland (Tract 018110) | $368K | $401K | +8.9% | |
| Garland (Tract 018138) | $368K | $388K | +5.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Highlands | $364K | $388K | +6.7% | |
| Knox-Henderson | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Pleasant Grove | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Grand Prairie | $259K | $315K | +21.3% | |
| Irving | $229K | $277K | +20.9% | |
| Far North Dallas | $629K | $756K | +20.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Highlands | $364K | $388K | $168K | |
| Balch Springs | $118K | $131K | $69K | |
| South Oak Cliff | $127K | $145K | $66K | |
| Lake Highlands | $96K | $98K | $45K | |
| Seagoville | $62K | $69K | $37K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.