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Dallas, TX · ZIP 75253 · Census Tract 48113017005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$185K
Downside (P10)
$155K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$209K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$256K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $96K | $103K | $99K | $179K | $185K | $189K | $197K | $209K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$64,579 | -$89,279 | -$82,179 | -$86,879 | -$6,379 | +$3,244 | +$11,931 | +$23,291 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.8% | -48.2% | -44.3% | -46.9% | -3.4% | +1.8% | +6.4% | +12.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $167K | $165K | $155K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $241K | $256K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$167K to $218K
27.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$155K to $256K
48.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 009303) | $186K | $212K | +13.9% | |
| Dallas (Tract 006502) | $187K | $206K | +10.0% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008801) | $190K | $208K | +9.0% | |
| Dallas (Tract 006001) | $188K | $201K | +7.1% | |
| Dallas (Tract 009304) | $183K | $191K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 000703) | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008401) | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000610) | $596K | $712K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas (Tract 009607) | $508K | $600K | +18.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000608) | $519K | $612K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 009303) | $186K | $212K | $80K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008701) | $136K | $144K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005901) | $137K | $156K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008802) | $120K | $136K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005902) | $119K | $123K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dallas, TX · ZIP 75253 · Census Tract 48113017005 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$185K
Downside (P10)
$155K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$209K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$256K
+38% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 73% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $121K | $96K | $103K | $99K | $179K | $185K | $189K | $197K | $209K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$64,579 | -$89,279 | -$82,179 | -$86,879 | -$6,379 | +$3,244 | +$11,931 | +$23,291 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -34.8% | -48.2% | -44.3% | -46.9% | -3.4% | +1.8% | +6.4% | +12.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $167K | $165K | $155K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $218K | $241K | $256K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$167K to $218K
27.2% of median
Long-horizon band
$155K to $256K
48.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 009303) | $186K | $212K | +13.9% | |
| Dallas (Tract 006502) | $187K | $206K | +10.0% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008801) | $190K | $208K | +9.0% | |
| Dallas (Tract 006001) | $188K | $201K | +7.1% | |
| Dallas (Tract 009304) | $183K | $191K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 000703) | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008401) | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000610) | $596K | $712K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas (Tract 009607) | $508K | $600K | +18.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000608) | $519K | $612K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 009303) | $186K | $212K | $80K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008701) | $136K | $144K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005901) | $137K | $156K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008802) | $120K | $136K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005902) | $119K | $123K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
