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Dallas, TX · ZIP 75154 · Census Tract 48113016622 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$292K
Downside (P10)
$255K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$295K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$411K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $142K | $135K | $155K | $149K | $160K | $172K | $212K | $239K | $289K | $292K | $293K | $294K | $295K | $306K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$141,801 | -$150,401 | -$157,901 | -$137,101 | -$143,301 | -$132,801 | -$120,401 | -$80,701 | -$53,101 | -$3,201 | +$859 | +$1,255 | +$2,886 | +$13,173 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.5% | -51.4% | -54.0% | -46.9% | -49.0% | -45.4% | -41.2% | -27.6% | -18.2% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $265K | $258K | $255K | $267K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $355K | $397K | $411K | $342K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$265K to $355K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$267K to $342K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 006200) | $287K | $319K | +11.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 004800) | $284K | $311K | +9.6% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000410) | $291K | $316K | +8.5% | |
| Dallas (Tract 006302) | $277K | $297K | +7.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 002002) | $285K | $292K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 000703) | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008401) | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000610) | $596K | $712K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas (Tract 009607) | $508K | $600K | +18.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000608) | $519K | $612K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 009303) | $186K | $212K | $80K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008701) | $136K | $144K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005901) | $137K | $156K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008802) | $120K | $136K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005902) | $119K | $123K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Dallas, TX · ZIP 75154 · Census Tract 48113016622 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$292K
Downside (P10)
$255K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$295K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$411K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $151K | $142K | $135K | $155K | $149K | $160K | $172K | $212K | $239K | $289K | $292K | $293K | $294K | $295K | $306K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$141,801 | -$150,401 | -$157,901 | -$137,101 | -$143,301 | -$132,801 | -$120,401 | -$80,701 | -$53,101 | -$3,201 | +$859 | +$1,255 | +$2,886 | +$13,173 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -48.5% | -51.4% | -54.0% | -46.9% | -49.0% | -45.4% | -41.2% | -27.6% | -18.2% | -1.1% | +0.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $265K | $258K | $255K | $267K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $355K | $397K | $411K | $342K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$265K to $355K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$267K to $342K
24.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 006200) | $287K | $319K | +11.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 004800) | $284K | $311K | +9.6% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000410) | $291K | $316K | +8.5% | |
| Dallas (Tract 006302) | $277K | $297K | +7.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 002002) | $285K | $292K | +2.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 000703) | $512K | $638K | +24.7% | |
| Dallas (Tract 008401) | $213K | $259K | +21.3% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000610) | $596K | $712K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas (Tract 009607) | $508K | $600K | +18.2% | |
| Dallas (Tract 000608) | $519K | $612K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas (Tract 009303) | $186K | $212K | $80K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008701) | $136K | $144K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005901) | $137K | $156K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 008802) | $120K | $136K | $77K | |
| Dallas (Tract 005902) | $119K | $123K | $70K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
