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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Collin, TX · ZIP 75252 · Census Tract 48085031719 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$457K
Downside (P10)
$366K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$506K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$625K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $273K | $284K | $312K | $304K | $332K | $351K | $341K | $402K | $446K | $441K | $457K | $470K | $484K | $506K |
| YoY Change | +4.3% | +9.7% | -2.6% | +9.2% | +6.0% | -2.8% | +17.6% | +11.0% | -1.0% | +3.6% | +2.8% | +2.9% | +4.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $384K | $385K | $366K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $557K | $626K | $625K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$384K to $557K
36.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$366K to $625K
51.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Far North Dallas | $455K | $506K | +11.1% | |
| Plano (Tract 031625) | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Plano (Tract 031335) | $461K | $519K | +12.5% | |
| Plano (Tract 031333) | $461K | $505K | +9.6% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030535) | $454K | $486K | +7.0% | |
| McKinney (Tract 030606) | $460K | $489K | +6.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Far North Dallas | $455K | $506K | +11.1% | |
| McKinney | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano (Tract 031625) | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas | $982K | $1.17M | +18.9% | |
| Plano (Tract 031678) | $639K | $757K | +18.5% | |
| Far North Dallas | $687K | $813K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Far North Dallas | $455K | $506K | $259K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Plano | $298K | $334K | $134K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.