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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Collin, TX · ZIP 75002 · Census Tract 48085031326 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$823K
Downside (P10)
$736K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$932K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.33M
+62% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +62%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $641K | $670K | $757K | $818K | $816K | $823K | $864K | $863K | $932K |
| YoY Change | +4.5% | +13.0% | +8.0% | -0.3% | +0.8% | +5.0% | -0.1% | +8.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $675K | $706K | $736K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$675K to $1.05M
43.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$736K to $1.33M
63.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano | $801K | $932K | +16.3% | |
| Frisco (Tract 030504) | $867K | $1.01M | +16.6% | |
| Plano (Tract 031649) | $825K | $919K | +11.4% | |
| Prosper | $826K | $897K | +8.5% | |
| Frisco (Tract 030518) | $831K | $902K | +8.5% | |
| Plano (Tract 031646) | $877K | $935K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano | $801K | $932K | +16.3% | |
| McKinney | $473K | $580K | +22.6% | |
| Plano (Tract 031625) | $454K | $542K | +19.4% | |
| Dallas | $982K | $1.17M | +18.9% | |
| Plano (Tract 031678) | $639K | $757K | +18.5% | |
| Far North Dallas | $687K | $813K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plano | $801K | $932K | $593K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031008) | $291K | $288K | $153K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030901) | $318K | $347K | $152K | |
| McKinney (Tract 030701) | $277K | $310K | $138K | |
| Plano | $298K | $334K | $134K | |
| Princeton (Tract 031005) | $170K | $185K | $108K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.