What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48085030538 in McKinney?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $523,642 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 48085030538 in McKinney?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $523,642 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.7%.

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Parcel 48085030538 (McKinney) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 48085030538, McKinney Home Price Forecast

Collin, TX · ZIP 75035 · Census Tract 48085030538 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$524K

Downside (P10)

$438K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$590K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$708K

+35% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$351K	$369K	$432K	$527K	$524K	$524K	$538K	$544K	$590K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$172,542	-$155,042	-$92,042	+$3,658	+$758		+$14,314	+$20,629	+$66,242
Growth % vs 2026	-33.0%	-29.6%	-17.6%	+0.7%	+0.1%		+2.7%	+3.9%	+12.7%
Downside (P10)							$446K	$456K	$438K
Upside (P90)							$643K	$661K	$708K

Forecast Confidence

75%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$446K to $643K

36.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$438K to $708K

45.9% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.7% · Spread: 46%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 48085030538, McKinney on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).